numbers don’t lie.

crumpled

I gather from the dearth of Tenth Annual Uncle Crappy NCAA Final Four Challenge (Brought to you by Bocktown) entries that we’re having trouble coming up with the kind of quality picks that would warrant a $50 Bocktown gift card.

The pressure’s on. I get it. And I’m also here to help.

In one of my professional capacities, I spend a little bit of time each week checking out fivethirtyeight.com, the stats blog run by Nate Silver and his staff of fellow geniuses. Sure, when it comes down to it, these folks are simply calculating probabilities of everything from presidential politics to this year’s snowfall in Boston. But they do so with stunning levels of consistency and accuracy, so when they release a bracket that shows the probability of victory for each team in the tournament, it’s maybe worth taking a look at what they have to say about March Madness.

And once you’re done with your analysis, get your TAUCNFFC entry ready to go. Remember: It’s free, it’s easy and the winner gets a $50 Bocktown gift card.

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